Hot Air About An Ice Free North Pole

| July 7, 2008


This spring has seen an unusual spike in the ambient nonsense about global warming, particularly with regards to the breathless prediction by some so called scientist that an area called the Northwest Passage may be ice free by September. From the UK’s Independent:

It seems unthinkable, but for the first time in human history, ice is on course to disappear entirely from the North Pole this year.

The disappearance of the Arctic sea ice, making it possible to reach the Pole sailing in a boat through open water, would be one of the most dramatic – and worrying – examples of the impact of global warming on the planet. Scientists say the ice at 90 degrees north may well have melted away by the summer.

“From the viewpoint of science, the North Pole is just another point on the globe, but symbolically it is hugely important. There is supposed to be ice at the North Pole, not open water,” said Mark Serreze of the US National Snow and Ice Data Centre in Colorado.

If it happens, it raises the prospect of the Arctic nations being able to exploit the valuable oil and mineral deposits below these a bed which have until now been impossible to extract because of the thick sea ice above.

Word to the wise before the nations bordering the Arctic get excited about leasing energy rights or environmentalist moonbats plan protests, this prediction is far from certain.

In fact, things have been cooling dramatically during the past year or so, in part coupled by a reduction of energy from the sun, which continues its quiet phase that could be an indication of a much colder period of climate.

Of course the facts or the big picture cannot stand in the way of advocacy meteorology! Just ask the eco-tourists aboard Kapitan Khlebnikov. What is the Kapitan Khlebnikov you ask?

Lee Treloar of Canada’s Globe and Mail tells us the tale of one group of folks who bought the hot air and got stuck in the ice while looking for signs of global warming near polar Canada:

What irony. I am a passenger on one of the most powerful icebreakers in the world, travelling through the Northwest Passage – which is supposed to become almost ice-free in a time of global warming, the next shipping route across the top of the world – and here we are, stuck in the ice, engines shut down, bridge deserted. Only time and tide can free us.

The first day or two are a novelty. We take photos and enjoy the adventure. After all, isn’t this what many polar explorers went through?

Seven day’s later the Latte crowd is freed from the ice, were they any wiser?

What about this year? Of course you ask any global warming advocate and they will nod with the canon that yes indeed, this time for real the ice will be gone!

But a quick check of the temperature variations at the pole show us some concrete evidence that our quiet Sun is the one calling the shots here (hat tip to the wonderful ICECAP web site)

What you are looking at is the variation from “normal” for the north pole, compared between 2007 and 2008 (larger view on the ICECAP site). What the graphic shows is that temperature at the top end of the globe is colder this year than last. So voyage to the Northwest Passage at your leisure, but be ready to ride the ice.

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Category: Climate Change, Main, Maps

About the Author ()

Bruce Henderson is a former Marine who focuses custom data mining and visualization technologies on the economy and other disasters.

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