Category: Recession Watch

Iron Sunrise

Iron Sunrise

| September 13, 2007 | 2 Replies

Avid readers of this blog will remember earlier this year the warning calls that went out about the impending new phase of our national and global finance. The part that surprised me was that it has taken this long to get this far. The stones are all lined up for the avalanche, but some of […]

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Where we stand (economically)

Where we stand (economically)

| September 2, 2007 | Reply

For close to a year now, Bruce Henderson (my co-blogger here) has been using his Boomerang data mining technology to gather and present housing- and economic-related data from across the nation (for an example, see the Hardtack site). For just about that same period of time, he’s been making posts at this blog that expressed […]

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Uh oh …. Tech Crash 2.0?

Uh oh …. Tech Crash 2.0?

| August 15, 2007 | Reply

I fully anticipated the 2000 Tech Crash, due to the insane spending of dot.com startups with no products and no clear business plan. Having been part of a venture-funded startup in the early 1990s — one that took five years to run through a grand total of $7M of venture capital — I heard big […]

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Fake Home Cancellations Increase

Fake Home Cancellations Increase

| June 11, 2007 | Reply

No, you can’t make stuff like this up. According to the Wall Street Journal, Macy’s has decided to cancel their plans to build fake homes inside many of their flagship stores. These houses were part of a marketing push around Martha Stewart (MSO) products being carried at these stores. These plans were shelved due to […]

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The Next Arc Down

The Next Arc Down

| June 11, 2007 | Reply

Frequent readers of this Blog know that I have been using a new kind of software to help track hidden aspects of the business cycle, both for our customers and for my own interests. The working theory here is that the data you can get from government and industry reporting agencies are no longer inherently […]

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Existing Home Sales – What Hardtrack Is Telling Us

Existing Home Sales – What Hardtrack Is Telling Us

| May 28, 2007 | Reply

The National Association of Realtors published figures for existing home sales for April today. Existing home sales fell in April The median price of a home fell to $220,900, an 0.8 percent fall from the midpoint selling price a year ago. It marked the ninth straight decline in the median price. Comparing the national sales […]

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Project Hardtack – 1 Year On

Project Hardtack – 1 Year On

| May 25, 2007 | Reply

National single family home inventory just went over 1.9 Million over on the Hardtack experiment For a while a few weeks ago it looked like the inventory rocket was leveling out, but in reality it was taking a short breather before climbing ever higher. I have no idea when this will slow down, but it […]

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Tweeter Cuts Back – Video Fans Mourn

Tweeter Cuts Back – Video Fans Mourn

| March 24, 2007 | Reply

Tweeter Cuts Back – Video Fans Mourn Tweeter is a good store, they have an excellent selection of equipment, the sales staff tend to have a clue (at least at the local ones) and the prices are competitive. I purchased my current, highly prized Samsung DLP at Tweeter, and I was very happy with the […]

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Nation Wide Real Estate Inventory Rocketing Higher

Nation Wide Real Estate Inventory Rocketing Higher

| March 23, 2007 | 1 Reply

Last year marked the start of the housing downturn in several markets. The clearest indicator was the ballooning levels of existing home inventory for sale, and the fact that these homes largely stayed on the market until Thanksgiving without moving in an appreciable way. In some markets, at the sales flow rate at the time, […]

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In God We Trust – All Others Bring Data

In God We Trust – All Others Bring Data

| March 19, 2007 | Reply

It should come as no surprise that divining and quantifying what is happening to the housing market and the connected financial systems is a topic of significant interest for me. While there is an excellent and growing suite of web sites and Blogs around that document elements of what is happening, one piece of information […]

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